Friday, January 30, 2009

Stan the Orphan?! ~ *SHORT* Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS)


"Spread the Board!"

BOTD MOVE # 23


it's a BOY! 




March of "dimes" 

$3.20 +0.70
 (+28.00%)

... like BUTTA! 





the April 20s ...hmm, 

$3.87 +0.67 (+20.94%)

the 4:20s!  dude, bro! 





 STANLEY!?! ... stan: "don't call me that!"

p.s.  Double Bottom? or $20 and the line of Abandonment? *click  

Thursday, January 29, 2009

Call the Cops! ~ ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (ETF) (Public, NYSE:SRS)

Profits in a bottle! 

$54.71 
+5.76
(+11.77%)

... Buy the BUZZER pays! ($48.26)



HOD!

"high of day"

Just a castaway, an island lost at sea, oh
 Another lonely day, with no one here but me, oh
More loneliness than any man could bear
Rescue me before I fall into despair, ohhhh 9! 

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

It's a BOY! ~ Stanley Morgan ~ Morgan Stanley (Public, NYSE:MS)

"spread the board" above $23!

The Stanley Morgan PUTS. 
 
added March 20s,  APRIL 20s

... what is the infant mortality rate? 

CASH is KING:  SOLD the BANK of BILLY (MSFT calls) , sold 1/2 of Brazil (PBR),  sold lame duck china tech (SINA), and infratarded (FRM).  *ALL WINNERS* 

LONG:  DXO from $2.36 

p.s.  bought more FAZ under $44 and SRS under $52   ..... good luck all.

Monday, January 26, 2009

STEEL this BLOG! ~ *SHORT* United States Steel Corporation (Public, NYSE:X)


US Steel (X)*
$29.46
-1.33
(-4.32%)


KISS(es) of DEATH:  "United States" in the company name.  hmmm, we'll also accept "America" or "American".  Previous Thesis Winners: Bank of "America" (BAC) & "American" Airlines (AMR) (hmmm, "American" Express (AXP) also meets the criteria) 

(X) target: under $20 (new lows) 

BOTD owns:  SHORT (X) with puts (XNI & XNY)


    Fistful of STEEL ~ RAGE on *REPEAT* 

p.s.  Stanley Morgan ($MS) daily high $20.70 .... NO BABY! 

Saturday, January 24, 2009

The BANK of Mr. Floppy ~ Microsoft Corporation (Public, NASDAQ:MSFT)

MSFT reported earnings of .47 per share! 

Ballmer: "I like our portfolio. The Board likes our portfolio.  We're simply dealing with unprecedented ground. Our model is not for quick rebound. The economy shrinks, and then it doesn't rebound. It builds from a lower base ... So no, we're not expecting a bounce."

BuyOnTheDip is "expecting" a bounce. 

The FEB 18s.
"calls of confidence" 
46 cents! 



Bank with Billy!

"discretion
conscience"











p.s. Hedge.com aka BOTD holding AAPL puts & short PCLN 
... BUYING (REW) under $75.

The Great "TAX GAP" of 2009 ~ April 15th or April 20th?

The TAX GAP: the difference between what taxpayers should have paid and what they actually pay.

The Great "TAX GAP" of 2009!! 

... add State budget shortfalls, Pension problems, rising UNemployment, Ponzi schemes, 401K debacles, banking blunders, and the fact that "everyone" is BROKE. 

DOW TARGET: 5000-6000 

"Get SHORT, stay SHORT."




... with the occasional "CALLS of CONFIDENCE."

4:15  vs.  4:20 ??? 

... remember, BOTD went to University of California at SANTA CRUZ.  BANANA SLUGS 1999. 

 Not much has changed. Here is 2008:

p.s.  CASH is 

My 1st born male child ... Stanley Morgan! ~ Morgan Stanley (Public, NYSE:MS)

The FEB 18 PUTS (MSNP) 

$1.90 -0.70 (-26.92%) 

... if Morgan Stanley breaks $21, my yet-to-be-conceived unborn son will be named STANLEY MORGAN out of spite and respect.


MS $18.71 +1.13 (6.43%)

Marley (my 1 year old) & Jose! 

... who's thirsty? 

p.s.  No more bottles!! ~  SHORT $DF 







  Cameron says, ...

"I don't want a little brother!" 

DIE MS! 

... ENJOY the WEEKEND, kiddos! 

Thursday, January 22, 2009

GONE SHOPPING! ~ Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (Public, NYSE:GS)


The AMERICAN FLAG of BULLISH LOVE! 

BOTD traded the FEB 70s. 

 .... BUY IT and go eat a pizza. 






 the "breakout" ... was watching the 2 day/5day for entry confirmation. 

FRIDAY's CLOSE: 
74.91
 +3.88 (5.46%) 




UPDATE: 
The FEB 70s.

... BOTD "over traded" this week. 

GS calls, Got Sold Thursday, hmmmm.  

"CALLS of CONFIDENCE" ~ Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (Public, NYSE:FCX)

Enter the PALACE of PROFIT!

FCXBE 

$1.64 -0.58 (-26.13%)

The FEB 25s!

HEDGED:  SHORT "X" -1.31 (-4.12%)

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Life in the FAS lane! ~ FINANCIAL BULL 3X (Public, NYSE:FAS)

"I AM SPEED!"

FAS ~ $9.90
  +2.27 (+29.75%)

BOTD: $8.20 

"Faster than Fast, Quicker than Quick!"



Ohhh say can you see!!!

Extended Hours: 
10.34 +.44 (+4.44%) 

hmmmmm. 



    
The FAS "buy on the dip" ... day trade or swing trade?  not sure yet.  BOTD almost took profits at the buzzer, but up 30%+, we have some freedom to let it go LIGHTNING!  Cachoooga!

p.s. BOTD  vs.  AMR  ... another "SHORT SOMETHING" List winner!!  (BOTD victims BG, ICE, JRCC, COST and now AMR

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

BLAME it on the FAZ! ~ FINANCIAL BEAR 3X (Public, NYSE:FAZ)


THESIS = CONFIRMED.

FAZ $88.15
+25.54 (40.79%)

"Get SHORT, stay SHORT."

.... BOTD 2009.
 



the AMIGOS:
SRS+11.87 (19.97%) 
EEV+8.84 (15.13%)
SDP +1.99 (4.55%)

The "SHORT SOMETHING!" List:
NamePriceChange
DF18.10-0.34 (-1.84%) *added today
X30.10-2.48 (-7.61%)
PTR74.60-5.56 (-6.94%)
AMR10.46-0.94 (-8.25%)
KUB28.61-1.03 (-3.48%)
PCLN66.04-5.09 (-7.16%)


The BUCKET Approach Revisited :  $BGZ & $TZA 
(yes, we already took profits in BGZ & TZA, the bucket pays!) 

The "Spread the Board" Move #123:  

 Bank of America (BAC)

 ... hmmmm, guess we shouldda held those MAY 10s.  doh! 



The TNA LOGIC!!??!:    Being "this" SHORT, we buy BIG on DIPS!  That's the whole plan, OWN a 'CHUNKY' short position,  ... trade the dips.  Today we killed 3 soldiers trying to "pick bottoms" in FAS.  Each time we 'chunked' a 15K buy, with a tight 1% stop loss.  DEAD, DEAD, and DEAD.   to be continued tomorrow. 

DON'T FORGET!!! ... 

the "calls of confidence" method. 

The FEB 50s!!!

winner. 




p.s.  the BOTD longs:  PBR, SINA, and FRM *added today, not sure why.    GO TEAM

SHORT MILK!??!! ~ *SHORT* Dean Foods Company (Public, NYSE:DF)

... who is Aaron Burr? 

*SHORT* Dean  
   vs. 
*LONG* Harvey 








         ***  Harvey says ....  "FIGHT!" *

Monday, January 19, 2009

The NEW AMERICA! ~ Direxion Small Cap Bull 3X Shares (ETF) (Public, NYSE:TNA)

Join the PARADE! *

BUY *TNA* on mini-pull backs!!

 ... don't CHASE Obama.

* YES, our DOW target is still 5000-6000 ... but it's a CELEBRATION! 


lucky #44.










Sunday, January 18, 2009

NFL SUPER BOWL SUNDAY ~ TIP #190: How to turn $50 into $190.91+!!! ... (or zero)








ACCOUNT TOTAL = $0 

Step #1  ... get $50 bucks. 

ACCOUNT TOTAL = $50 
(will be ZERO again if you're wrong) 




Step #2 ... go to SportsBook.com 

Step #3 ... get $50 free! *
*sign up with bonus code: DOCS50 (guess how we found it?)

ACCOUNT TOTAL = $100  

Step #4 ... BET ON SOMETHING that pays double! 
  (we took "the OVER" all day today

Step #5 ... WIN.  
(or guess correctly) 

NEW ACCOUNT TOTAL  = $190.91  *commissions of $9.09


MAKE the SUPER BOWL a bit more exciting 
       ... bet "the under" with BOTD! 

Extra Bonus: FREE $25 toward your 1st HOOPS bet! 

 ☛ Check the R.O.I.  ☛ $50 instantly turns into $100, then with one coin-toss 50/50 football bet you're up to $190.91 ... then you make a $25 basketball bet, they match $25, you've got $50 on the line .... win that and BAMM! you're up to $250ish. (with a total investment risk of $50)

BOTD 'z HUGE RETURNS! .... sure, this shit sounds like an infomercial and $200 bucks isn't a lot of money.  BOTD is all about picking a side, making a bet, taking a shot, blah, blah ... we love football, basketball, baseball, poker, and even the ponies.  If you already use SportsBook, this isn't the post for you.  But, if you like SPORTS and have $50 bucks to waste, this will make for a fun day. ... just takes $50 and a dream! 

p.s.  bet on the winner of AMERICAN IDOL or the BEST RAP ALBUM at the GRAMMY AWARDS.  (Jay-Z, Lil Wayne, Lupe Fiasco, NAS, or TI)  ... lil' wayne is a lock, right?   .... weaddle, weadddle, weee
                

Saturday, January 17, 2009

The Inaugurization of Obamalicious!



















If I was the President, then I would state facts.
You leave it up to me, I paint the white house black
it ain't no future in your frontin' 
there ain't no future in your frontin' 



  ... "I wish Tupac, Biggie, and MC Breed were alive to see this!"   
  

Thursday, January 15, 2009

BANK ON A BOUNCE! ~ FINANCIAL BULL 3X (Public, NYSE:FAS)

 Today was near PERFECT. 

FAZ finally broke $55!!!! (hit $64.99, was up 20%+) ... closed $59.  Did we sell? 
 nope.   Instead, BOTD added FAS on the DIP!  ($12.61) 

"Get Short, Stay Short" ... and trade the dips! 


The RIMM Feb 50s.

 *RFYBJ*

$3.90 +1.90 (+95.00%)

TARGET = RIMM $52+
... use common share targets to find "sell" points. 

  Example:  BAC broke $8 today, our near target, ... when it did, we sold our FEB 12.50s for BIG PROFITS! 


YES WE CAN!!! ~ Direxion Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ)

FAZ 55.

58.74
+5.32 (+9.96%)
stop in place. 

... go team! 




Wednesday, January 14, 2009

BOTD's Guide to SHORTING STOCKS!!


  Rule #4  .....  trade with a consistent thesis.

BAD BUSINESS  + BAD ECONOMY = BAD STOCK

1)  Airlines SUCK

*SHORT AMERICAN AIRLINES* 

tip #7: the KISS of DEATH
   ... the word "America"  
 example:  Bank of America 




2) Airplanes are made from STEEL! 

*SHORT US STEEL*

tip #14:  the KISS of DEATH 
.... the letters "U.S."
 Example:  US Bank 

 ~ feel free to add BOEING (BA) on the break of $40. 


3) Airplanes love FUEL!
   
OIL & CHINA?!! (twofer)

*SHORT PETRO CHINA*

... this one is too easy. 

Bonus "sleeper" Short:  KUB ~ Japan, Tractors, Equipment, Machinery, ... these are all bad words. 




4) What is the Internet? 

*SHORT PRICELINE*
 
This requires people to willingly buy the items above which we've already determined are BAD. 

.... The Wrath of the BEARS!  
                        BOTD 'z Ricardo Montalban

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

BOTD = Bank Of The Dip! ~ Bank of America Corporation (Public, NYSE:BAC)

The "SPREAD the BOARD" options strategy!! 

The BAC Jan, Feb, & May PUTS. 

 Did we play it exactly right?  not at all, but ... 

The JAN 12.50s* 
*SOLD YESTERDAY?!

BOTD left today's 50% move on the table, but ...  

  
The FEB 12.50s

$2.61 +0.55 (+26.70%)

can't complain, eh? 
 
$$$$




The MAY 12.50s, hmmmm .... a few weeks ago we said, "BUY the MAY 11s."  The next day BAC jumped to $14.50ish, so we bought the 12.50s.  We should have stuck to our original plan of buying the 11s. 

Alas, the 12.50s are too thin (BAD) and too deep in the money now.(GOOD)  I know, haha, such a profitable problem, but... 

it's time to "Roll-Down" !!! ... sell the May 12.50s, wait for a mini-pop then buy the 10s,  or 7.50s .... not sure which, yet.
   
p.s.  Who's Twizzlin'?!!? with BuyOnTheDip on StockTwits.com & Twitter.com

What Does It Mean Icon
What Does Roll Down Mean?
When an investor replaces an old options position
 with a new one at a lower strike price.
Investopedia Says Icon
Investopedia explains Roll Down...
When investors are bearish on a stock
 they will typically roll down.  



 "... this industry is like BACteria and my flow is a germ."