Monday, March 31, 2008

BOTD adds APACHE "stinky" puts! (APA .. PU)

APACHE popped to $121+ in the AM!!!

... we added our puts (p.o.p.) ...

Then watched as APA headed into the RED, could it be this easy? are we that good?
...hmmmm ... nope. APA jumped back to $121+ and ended the day green 120.82+1.77 (+1.49%)

APACHE "stinky" PUTS!

APR 19, 2008 $ 120.000 PUT (APAPU)

Day's Range
3.90 - 5.30


....4:20 bro!

Sunday, March 30, 2008

What's that smell??!? APACHE STINKS! ... .... .... >>> *SHORT* Apache Corporation (NYSE:APA)

PutsOnThePop.com adds APAPU!

APACHE (APA) ... we've never said DOUBLE TOP ... until now?  
52 week high of $122.34
current price $119.05 

.... buy APA "stinky" PeeeUuuu puts! 

APRIL 19th $120 PUTS OF POWER!!!  

.... under $5 bucks! 

Don't Forget your Umbrella!!!

 Doesn't the market usually take the summer off? 
" SELLERS own the SUMMER! "

.... should be even worse in a BEAR MARKET 

SUNDAY RECO for TRADERS

The STOCK MARKET is primarily an INDOOR GAME ... 

NEW RECO = GET SOME SUN! 

*summer is coming*




chicks dig a tan, right?... which way is the beach? 

BuyOnTheDip vs. CAPITAL ONE .... ..... >>> >>>> winner = BOTD!

COF ends the week below $49!!! 
BOTD adds COF to *The BREAK 40 CLUB*

COF
48.99
-1.48
(-2.93%)
BOTD celebrates victory over CAPITAL ONE! 

p.s. The BREAK 40 CLUB update: 
we have another winner .... MER breaks 40! 

MS44.74-0.95 (-2.08%)
AXP43.15-1.68 (-3.75%)
JPM42.71-0.15 (-0.35%)
MER39.93-1.97 (-4.70%)*WINNER*
LEH37.87-0.84 (-2.17%)*WINNER*

Thursday, March 27, 2008

The BREAK 50 CLUB winner! ~ CAPITAL ONE (COF)

As promised, 

 COF broke 50 today!!!

with a low of $49.83.

.... Chart of (COFPL) APR 19, 2008 $ 60.000 PUTS of Power.The BOTD sunday RECO said we needed COF under 52 by April 19th for COFPL to pay ... hmmm...isn't it still March?   ... and under 50 by JUNE for COFRL to be deeper in the money, ... BOTD, go deeper!  

p.s..... The BREAK 40 CLUB ... 
obvious front runner and hands down winner = LEH = Lower Every Hour! 

JPM42.86-1.25 (-2.83%)
AXP44.83-0.53 (-1.17%)
MER41.90-2.52 (-5.67%)
MS45.69-2.10 (-4.39%)
LEH38.71-3.78 (-8.90%) ***WINNER! 

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

THE BREAK 50 CLUB ~ Capital One Financial Corp. (Public, NYSE:COF)

The P.O.P. chart of the DAY!  Find the pop, find the RECO.
 
COF $51.25 - 1.80
 (-3.39%)

we got stuck at $51.00 today, arg!  
<                                                       >
          The BREAK 50 CLUB
                *more coming soon* 

p.s.                 Have you heard of the BREAK 40 CLUB?  
AXP45.36-2.15 (-4.53%)
JPM44.11-1.95 (-4.23%)
LEH42.49-2.72 (-6.02%)
MS47.79-1.66 (-3.36%)
MER44.42-3.43 (-7.17%)

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

AHEAD of the DOUBLE DOWNGRADE ~ Capital One Financial Corp. (Public, NYSE:COF)

Burn Baby, Burn! ...COF down 5% in the AM on a DOUBLE DOWNGRADE !!!

Love those Double D's!
(boobs see link below)



Downgrade #1 Capital One Financial Cut To Neutral From Buy By Calyon

Downgrade #2 FRIEDMAN BILLINGS CUTS COF TO UNDERPERFROM FROM MARKET PERFORM with a $40 TARGET!
"says of recent Fed actions, gov't proposals have resulted in indiscriminate buying/short covering of finl stocks. Expects shares of COF to trade down as investors realize recent stimulus will not prevent significant consumer credit deterioration in H2 '08, 2009 as unemployment continues to increase, impacting earnings."

(DOUBLE D's topless on the golf course? fore! ) *contains nudity*

Monday, March 24, 2008

Capital One hell of a pop! ~ Capital One Financial Corp. (Public, NYSE:COF)

CAPITAL ONE popped to $57 ... up 7%+ in the AM ... talk about a PutsOnThePop-ortunity! (damn, that was gay ... no offense)

we were looking to buy (COFPL) under $8 

how about under $6 !!!! 

 Buy "puts" on the dip ... what a deal !

  ..... and (COFRL),  we got in under $8.

---> now this FINANCIAL "bull" rally can stop ... DOW 12,600? ha DOW 12,800? p.o.p.  .... the DOW loves 12,000.

p.s.   IYR jumped 2.5% ...  we added (IYRPR) for $3.50

 p.s.s. URBN hit a new 52-week high today, yes we are losing money, yes we added more puts today ;-)

p.s.s.s. BEAR LOGIC = NO POPS = NO GAINS ... (although this "bear" shit is gunna pain the DIPfolio if we don't get a dip soon)

Sunday, March 23, 2008

WHAT'S IN YOUR PORTFOLIO? ... *SHORT* Capital One Financial Corp. (Public, NYSE:COF)

CAPITAL ONE jumped 6.77% on Friday ... hmmmm ... 
BOTD adds APRIL & JUNE $60 PUTS of POWER!  

COF under $52 before APRIL 19th?
(COFPL) under $8 

... maxed out, past due, default, BK! ...

CREDIT CRUNCH of 2008! 


COF under $50 before JUNE 21st?
(COFRL) under $10 

GET BACK on THE (COF) SHORT BUS!

Thursday, March 20, 2008

SHORT REAL ESTATE the DIPfolio way! ~ BUY PUTS ~ iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate (ETF) (Public, NYSE:IYR)

The IYR popped today .... 66.83+2.68 (+4.18%)

Have you heard about the "commercial real estate" bubble bursting ... not really, not much, not yet ... you will.

Ben can't save everyone ... can he?

BOTD buys PutsOnThePop!




APR 19, 2008 $ 65.000 PUT (BHWPM)

2.15
-0.50 (-18.87%)

...BUY "puts" on the DIP!

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

FED CUTS 3/4 point ... the BULL is BACK? 420 bro!


Did the death of BEAR STEARNS reeeaaally signal the end of the bear market?   

....  is life that obvious, would history allow such a cliche?  

ANSWER = NO!  ..... this is a band-aid , just a bloody band-aid.

PUTS ON THE POP (p.o.p.) 



Monday, March 17, 2008

BOTD still LONG ~ UltraShort Basic Materials ProShares (Public, AMEX:SMN)

Check out the 1 year chart ...  @ $41.00 BUY ON THE DIP!

yes we already own SMN, yes we own options on SMN, yes we started above 43, added more under 40, and under 36... 10% increments on the way down ;-)  

the BEAR RUSH TO CAPITAL ... brokers along with general population will "sell winners" to raise CASH ($$$$)

p.s.  It was a pleasure SHORTING OIL , our timing was impeccable.  
An even greater pleasure would be for you to say, ...
 "BOTD is the SHIT!  AMAZING call on the Black Beauty of PUTNESS! (UNAPI!!!)" 

SHORT USO! ... UNAPI pays!

USO falls 3+ points...UPANI up 25%+

go team!

MUST TAKE PROFITS in 2008!


Sunday, March 16, 2008

BEAR MARKET kills BEAR STEARNS ...


BEAR is DEAD!
and the SUNDAY SURPRISE ~ COVER UP!
FED CUTS DISCOUNT RATE on a Sunday?
... with FED "regularly scheduled" meeting set for Tuesday the 18th ...... this will be a DIP to remember.

IN GOLD WE TRUST ... BUY (GTU) GOLD TRUST.


Friday, March 14, 2008

SHORT SNAP-ON @ $48 ... SNARJ, SNARJ!

Why pay a mechanic to fix your car ?
                      ..... when you can use DUCT TAPE!?!

Auto Repair Shops are feeling the BIG R
SHORT (SNA) from 48 to 40, that's what? 20 percent.
 
SHORT with the POWER of PUTS 
... (SNARJ) the JUNE $50 puts for under $5.00 ... hmmm...$45 looks sooner then JUNE ... doesn't it ? ... "put" $500 bucks to "work"

Our First Day being SHORT USO ... UNAPI!

GREEN , GREEN , GREEN, GREEN ... BOTD adds USO SHORT... RED!

Today UNAPI, our BLACK BEAUTY of PUTNESS, hit a low of $4... with our limit order set last night as posted.

BOTD added (UNAPI) at $4.20 ... (4:20 halla)

 (again ....this is our lotto ticket, roulette wheel, carnival ring toss speculative pick to cure overall market boredom)

Thursday, March 13, 2008

SHORT the USO as OIL goes to $115?

CALLING TOPS = HEAD CHOPPED OFF

We must be bored...and in need of a gambling style RUSH.

USO hits NEW HIGH of $87.79!!

Record high OIL @111 = Record low puts on USO

SHORT LOGIC = boredum + OIL up too much, too quick
(3 month chart above .... FEB to NOW 70 to 87 , wow!)

yo mama says "you nappy" (don imus is a moron) .... UNAPI ! (p.o.p)


APR 19, 2008 $ 87.000 PUT (UNAPI : OPRA)
Day's Range
4.10 - 4.80
current bid $4.30
current ask $4.50
... $4.20 sounds like a nice starting point. (4:20 bro!)

or wait for another p.o.p. and try APR 19, 2008 $ 90.000 PUT (UNAPL)

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

The Middle Finger of Fashion ... *SHORT* Urban Outfitters, Inc. (Public, NASDAQ:URBN)

with this market rally the BOTD is getting SHORT URBN.

SHORT * URBN above $30!

30.00+1.13 (3.91%)

p.o.p. (puts on the pop)

the SHORT LOGIC = URBN is near its 52 week high, 30+ P/E , they sell things at a store, in America, ha..., specialty retail, lifestyle merchandise?...

.Parents do your part! cut off your spoiled kids trendy crap allowance.

p.s. you are not a hippie if you buy "new" used-looking clothes.

p.p.s.... and hey, Cramer likes URBN, ... that should help it go lower. hehe.

SUPER BEN & RULE #14

BEN you tricky bastard, you. Just when our SMN trade couldn't look any sexier. SUPER BEN and his bottomless wallet adds 200 billion to save a few banks ... market rallies 400 points ... SMN down 10%.

RULE #14 ... TOO MUCH, TOO QUICK = BAD

we hate seeing a stock we own up 10% in one day, its too much, every time we get whacked ... or options up 60% or 100% by noon , its just too much ... BE AFRAID WHEN MAKING TOO MUCH, TOO QUICK ... same holds true for the reverse ... like seeing RIO down 10% in one day? ... up too much or down too much, this market wont let you make too much too quick. (solution = see rule #1)

rule #1 ... must take profits in 2008.


Monday, March 10, 2008

SMN = Sell MON Now!!!

The UltraShort ETF dipper!

44.50
+2.90 (+6.97%)
BOTD added SMN as the AG plays started to break to the upside...we dug deep with repeat BUYS as it made new 52 week lows...today our BEARishness PAID!
short MON and other toppy ag plays with SMN = Sell Mon Now!!!
p.s. CBG = 17.69 -0.79 (-4.27%) .... CBGOD up another 15%, bid at 2.30

Thursday, March 6, 2008

$5 gas, $15 lunch, $115 oil, $1500 gold ... ohhh my CBGOD!

BOTD wins again ... some guy said he liked our CMG short, but questioned our legitimacy with the CBG short...hmmmm... p.o.p.
CBGOD!
2.00
+0.65 (+48.15%)

MAR 22, 2008 $ 20.000 PUT


....that BOTD chart of love deserves a little ...

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

CBGOD wins! ~ DIE REAL ESTATE! DIE!

50%+ profits with p.o.p! .... and some help from the man upstairs.

COLDWELL "the dog" BANKER goes back under $20 (todays low was 18.90)

if you added CBGOD on the pop from 20 to 22 on our RECO, you win~! ... our "dog god" put play was down below 50 cents multiple days...today CBGOD ranged from 1.20 to 1.50... bottom line, some called us "nuts" to buy puts on the pop on CBG...go figure.
p.s. CBG will go lower >>> if/when we get more p.o.p action SHORT CBG above $20.
p.s.s. MARCH 18th = BEN