We have a WINNER! .... RIO touches $50

RIO wins!

DAY's high ...

RIO 50.00

....such a sexy dip and recovery! GO TEAM!

TODAY is the day ... THE RACE to 50!

Market up nicely at the open ...last day of the month and our Brazilian RACE TO 50 is heating up....

SBS
49.47
+1.70 (+3.56%)

RIO
49.18
+1.21 (+2.52%)

BRAZIL, BRAZIL, BRAZIL!

The RACE back to 50! .... SBS vs. RIO!

COMPANHIA DE SANEAMENTO BASICO SPONSORED ADR (SBS: NYSE)

SBS
46.65
+1.66 (+3.69%)

BRAZIL & WATER! and almost 5% div!

COMPANHIA VALE DO RIO DOCE SPONSORED ADR (RIO: NYSE)

RIO
44.28
+3.54 (+8.69%)

...we all know RIO.

....and don't forget

PETROLEO BRASILEIRO SA PETROBR SPONSORED ADR (PBR: NYSE)
57.16
+3.26 (+6.05%) ....almost back to our 59.55 RECO.

SAKS dips again ....

SAKS INC COM (SKS: NYSE)

16.18
-0.65 (-3.86%)

.... as usual we were a bit early...better price today! BOTD

p.s. MON, SBS, RIO, HK, BMI and others are having a nice day.

DAZED & CONFUSED, ZEPPELIN, & The STOCK MARKET

BOTD watchlist:

Look out the window and see what is real?



This "rate cut hype" has us a bit DAZED AND CONFUSED ...did that 300 point dip really punish the easy money monkeys? ... a half day of pain and panic? a month of RED? you know we are FOREVER BULLS, but?!@? another DIP is coming!!! Word on the street is 100% chance of another rate cut, thats not much room for error...can the fed disappoint?

Lets have some fun until then...BUY ON THE DIP!


Badger Meter, Inc. (Public, AMEX:BMI) ... under $32
...another water play ....sure, we need to manage the flow!

NIKE, Inc. (Public, NYSE:NKE) ... under $54

...we missed, and it feels like a golf ball in the nuts? did you see DICK's sporting goods today (DKS)! UA is on fire! CROX too! ...we like ELY...but tonight its NIKE!

Monsanto Company (Public, NYSE:MON) ... under $64
... our smokey green friend POT (Potash) is on the rise from the dip...but MON still stuck in the mud... c'mon MON!

Honeywell International Inc. (Public, NYSE:HON) ... under $55
... down 10% from its high ... safe and secure ...that's what they do.


yes, we know 3 of 4 are old CRAMER PICKS ... just call us buy-cramers-old-picks-on-the-dip.com instead.

p.s. wait for some RED! ... then BUY ON THE DIP!

BOTD adds SKS on the DIP!

SAKS INC COM (SKS: NYSE)

16.83
-1.11 (-6.19%)

Saks reported today, a bit oversold,....the world loves luxury!!!

SAKS CEO says "Luxury, long term is a very good place to be" ... ...

who wants some GUCCI?

.

....for the riskier "option players" ....try...

SAKS INC COM NOV 17, 2007 $ 20.000 CALL (SKSKD : OPRA)
0.55
-0.55 (-50.00%) ....bid is .50cents ...ask .60cents

CRAMER's 1,000 point DIP THEORY!?!

Would we rather be right and have a HUGE 1,000 DIP today... or have the FED cut rates and our post be wrong and make MONEY!!!? .... Cramer says Ben saved us today and saved the mortgage industry, etc....we'll accept being wrong ;-)


If you are watching the show you just heard JIM explain the reasons behind what would have been "the 1,000 point dip" today....(we'll send a link once available)

Yesterday when we broke our target of 12,700 we posted "we're not convinced" ...then at 12,500ish on the 300point plus dip ... we posted "still going lower....new target 12,000....the world is over....you could sell everything today .... then buy back lower next week or even next month" ....and when it rebounded and went green for the day, we got even more worried..."Don't believe the "green" hype....sure its nice to come back from 300pts down...but we need to "end" lower...today was a tease, a test, a glimpse of whats to come."

BE RIGHT & LOSE MONEY ....or....BE WRONG & MAKE MONEY ?

p.s. but don't forget one of our favorites ... "opportunity cost" ... had we had the 1,000 dip it would have been quite the buying opportunity ... eh?

p.s.s. yes, we just said ... "had we had"

FED RATE CUT ... and a 300 point pop!

THE FED cut the discount rate to 5.75%.

wow!

Happy SWING TRADING & happy friday!

The 3pm POWER HOUR!

BOTD posted about the 12,700 level...and as usual we were a bit off, but had the right idea ...the dow broke 12,600 and hit a low of 12,517.94 .... then rallied back 250pts in the last hour...POWER HOUR!

Don't believe the "green" hype....sure its nice to come back from 300pts down...but we need to "end" lower...today was a tease, a test, a glimpse of whats to come.

HOLD your stocks, HOLD your cash
...then BUY ON THE DIP!

DOW 12,539.24

....12,000?

12,700 breaks down, twice!

third times a charm?

it doesn't look good folks...

around 12,000 is the 2007 low....and things were better at that time, wouldn't you say?

DJIA breaks 12,700....but we're not convinced

still going lower....new target 12,000....the world is over.

you could sell everything today .... then buy back lower next week or even next month.

BOTD out.

NOT THERE YET....

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE

(DJIND: Dow Jones GlobalIndexes)

Day's low....12,751.48

....still needs to go lower...

God help us!!! part II ..... DOW breaking down ...

we broke 12,900!!!

12,857.08 -171.84 (-1.32%)

still need to get to 12, 700!

then BUY ON THE DIP!

BOTD "subscribers only" E-MAIL Pays!!

BOTD subscribers got alittle extra love this week...

CWCO 31.81 +2.07 (+6.96%)

STEC up 7% +

....take 5%+ profits as usual!

subscribe today and get all the BOTD picks

....some good, some bad, but never ugly!

In UNITED HEALTH we trust!

We need to get above $50!

Money is heading toward insurance companies, and "safer" plays....our option play is up 25% and we are looking to take some profits.

.

previous UNH posts : http://www.buyonthedip.com/search?q=unh

too bad we picked an option so far out , MAR 08...had we picked one a few month earlier, profits would have been 50%+

p.s. we still need to get to 12,700...sell on the spike! (.com)

p.s.s ...sorry about the timing on BRAZIL yesterday, down 4%+ since our RECO...cheaper today! ...but wait for 12,700.

GOD HELP US!!! 12,950....and sinking...

THE Dow Jones needs to drop to atleast 12,700 before this ends.

...might happen today, might happen by the end of August

....who knows?

When it does get out your shopping list and BOTD!

BRAZILIAN metals, water, and gas! .... we believe!

BOTD adding more RIO, SBS and PBR!

metals, water, oil & gas, ...what more can you ask for?

SBS 43.64 -2.29 (-4.99%)

RIO 43.21-2.39 (-5.24%)

PBR 59.55 -0.60 (-1.00%)

Emerging markets are getting beat up, a bit oversold today...BOTD!

Original buy recos on SBS and RIO ...
http://www.buyonthedip.com/2007/05/sao-paulo-in-house.html

Brazil posts: http://www.buyonthedip.com/search?q=brazil

THE HEALTHY OPTION play!

UNH option play pays!!!!

UHBCI
7.50
+0.40 (+5.63%)

.....bid at 7.60!

BOTD added UHBCI (UNH option play) at $6.30 http://www.buyonthedip.com/2007/08/healthy-option-buy-unh-on-dip.html...then it dipped below $6 and we posted again http://www.buyonthedip.com/2007/08/healthier-option-cheaper-today-unh.html, begged and prescribed that someone buy this! ... the common stock is in great shape too .....

UNH 48.89+1.41 (+2.97%)

Wake up!!! Monday Morning MADNESS!

We started the day with the DOW JONES up 80 points....now up 50

... get ready for a DIP!

...hands up ...

UNH
48.10
+0.62 (+1.31%)

POT
89.53
+3.29 (+3.81%)

CAT
78.90
+1.35 (+1.74%)

THE DIPfolio holds strong!

ADBE

.....since our RECO
...pretty impressive green streak!








UNH
47.73
+1.40 (+3.02%)
be begged, we posted, we prescribed!!!

UHBCI option play up... bid at 6.90 !!!







NYX 76.56 +1.55 (+2.07%)

.

p.s. Did you see RIO & SBS today? SBS touched $43??!!!! did you BOTD?

ps.s. HK is above $16.... 16.05 -0.10 (-0.62%) ... OIL is "THE" play!

A Healthier OPTION ....cheaper today! & UNH upgrades, more to come!

BOTD added our UNH option play on yesterdays 3pm dip.....today down another 3% ... DOCTORS ORDERS buy MARCH option under $6....and call me in 6 months.

UnitedHealth Group Upped To Neutral From Sell At Goldman
>UNH Aug 9, 2007 05:48:42 (ET)
DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
Goldman Sachs upgraded health insurer UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) to neutral from sell to reflect current valuation and its expectation of improved profitability in commercial trends during the second half of 2007.
The broker told clients it feels optimistic the insurer will begin to "turn the corner" on execution and customer service issues now that the most disruptive phase of its merger integration with PacifiCare Health are behind it.



p.s. WHO LOVES HK?


PETROHAWK!
16.21
+0.33 (+2.08%) ...option play up 50%!





BOTD loves FLOYD!

love those sexy bottoms!

WINNER: ADBE pays! 41.06 +0.83 (+2.06%)

ADOBE SYS INC COM (ADBE: NASDAQ)
41.06
+0.83 (+2.06%)
...original BUY reco at $39 http://www.buyonthedip.com/2007/08/coldfusion-8-is-great-adobe-systems.html

....BOTD loves 5% gains!

MEXICAN is the new PIZZA!

RUBIOS RESTAURANTS INC COM (RUBO: NASDAQ)
12.02
+1.67 (+16.14%)

take some profits!

go BOTD!!!!!!

we got this one right!!! original BUY post http://www.buyonthedip.com/2007/08/upcoming-quarterly-earnings.html

...AAP ..hmmm..not so good...

...LORL ... satellite lovin! ..up, up!

hey that worked!

HK
15.75
-0.13 (-0.82%)

taking quick profits is fun!

DOWN 200 at the open ....buy something!

PETROHAWK ENERGY
(HK: NYSE)

HK
14.81
-1.07 (-6.74%) ... buying more!




**Goldman Sachs upgrades oil service sector to attractive

notice UNH is GREEN! ....go team!

Lets go fishing! ... Marlin (MRLN) ...18.20 -0.29 (-1.57%)

Just off the 52 week low....can't go much lower...right?

MARLIN BUSINESS SERVICES CORP
(MRLN: NASDAQ)

18.20
-0.29 (-1.57%)

52-week low = $18.15

Marlin ..."the fish"...an Equipment Finance Company loans money to small businesses in the US...In this market we see tightening conventional lender guidelines, increased credit card usage, and strick lenghty bank loan processes, business owners need alternate places to borrow funds...Marlin is a solution. And with no mortgage or housing exposure...their loans are backed with asset based collateral...and we know they don't buy "shitty paper", more commonly refered to as "sub-prime"... so lets go fishing for MARLIN and BUY ON THE DIP!

--- And if we have to give a financial RECO or two, ....for fun lets add EQUIFAX INC (EFX: NYSE) & watch FAIR ISAAC (FIC) ... we also own DNB and REXI the dog is on fire!

A HEALTHY OPTION .... buy UNH on the DIP!

UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC COM
MAR 22, 2008 $ 45.000 CALL (UHBCI : OPRA)

6.30 -0.70 (-10.00%)

common stock (UNH) 47.10 -0.89 (-1.85%)


p.s....on a less health tip, ... JACK IN THE BOX (JBX) looks nice under $60.
(a bit oversold, don't ya think?)

WAKE UP!!! FLOYD speaks!!! Petrohawk Energy Corporation

Petrohawk Energy Corporation (HK) reports the good love15.55 +0.39 (+2.57%)..."Our drilling program will expand dramatically across our substantial acreage position in the Fayetteville Shale," said Floyd C. Wilson, President and Chief Executive Officer. "Downspacing and 3D seismic in Terryville and horizontal drilling in Elm Grove add to our already extensive development plans in those fields. In addition to drilling success, we continue to take advantage of our low cost structure, our well-placed hedges, and high price realizations to deliver results through the commodity cycle. Growth opportunities available to Petrohawk are like never before."

LORL ....booooyah! 44.02 +3.60 (+8.91%)

POT ...SMOKIN!!!!! .... ~~~~
90.60+2.98 (+3.40%)

....THIS BULL IS TOO STRONG! ...

Upcoming Quarterly Earnings ....

RUBIOS RESTAURANTS (RUBO: NASDAQ) ....mexican food is the new pizza....CMG is the real play, but we missed that dip...only dip left is their guac and salsa ... RUBIO's sells BEER, we love fast food that sells beer...$10/share sounds like a burrito and a beer.

Loral Space & Communications Inc. (LORL)
... satellite RADIO needs satellites ....right? ... $40/share

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) ... car parts? not too sexy ......dip ? looks sexy under $34

NEWS CORP (NWS) ... on a lil' dip ...22 sounds good...go FOX!

(watching FWLT and JBX go nuts)

p.s. did you see VLCM today...sure we "wiped out" on our RECO, but 13% up today, geez...

p.s.s. UNH (UNITEDHEALTH GROUP), a boring dipper but we pay them every month through our employee health plan, ....longer term investment .....BOTD adding under $48!

p.s.s.s. BOTD still owns a lil' BFLY www.BlueFly.com .... earnings report afterhours ;-)

What does "super pickle" and "POT" have in common?

Both are GREEN and flying higher!

$88.47 = POT new 52week high!

BOTD added POTASH CORP SASK INC COM (POT: NYSE) on the JULY 25th dip...and today AUGUST 7th we took out the 52 week high!http://www.buyonthedip.com/2007/07/we-want-to-get-high-so-high-botd-loves.html

BOTD loves POT! go team!

---p.s.

HK reports in the AM, look to take some profits.
Q2 2007 earnings are expected to be announced on August 8, 2007
Estimates: 0.18 0.147 0.09 (High Mean Low)

HK current price $15.16 +0.71 (+4.91%)

Your money is best spent on POT! ~~~~ POTASH CORP SASK INC (POT: NYSE)

Inhale, exhale ... POT is smoking in search of NEW HIGHS!

POTASH CORP SASK INC

(POT: NYSE)

85.18 +1.37 (+1.63%)

Our favorite ticker, one of our only GREEN stocks today ... take those 10% profits, the sweet smell of victory is wonderful!

our original BUY RECO at $77ish :
http://www.buyonthedip.com/2007/07/we-want-to-get-high-so-high-botd-loves.html

5 and 10% gains for the DIPfolio ... the best medicine we know!

NYX reports on the late night! ... zzzzz...zzz ... NYSE EURONEXT (NYX:NYSE)

(NYX: NYSE)
Mean Estimate:
$0.64
High Estimate:
$0.70
Low Estimate:
$0.57
.
.

The consensus of the 13 analysts covering NYX for 2nd quarter 2007 is a per share value of $.64.


NEW YORK – Aug. 2, 2007 – NYSE Euronext (NYSE Euronext: NYX) today reported net income of $161 million, or $0.62 per diluted share, for the three months ended June 30, 2007, a 164% increase as compared to net income of $61 million, or $0.39 per diluted share, for the three months ended June 30, 2006.


Extended Hours:
Last 77.99
Change +1.01 (+1.31%)

....Not the most exciting news ever, looks like a miss, right? (62<64)

NYX is the GLOBAL exchange of choice ....right? ...

BOTD LOVES NYX!

.... stay LONG NYX with our common shares...BUY ON THE DIP!

....as for the DIPfolio NYX OPTIONS plays, let's SELL and take profits on any spike!

Coldfusion 8 is GREAT! ADOBE SYSTEMS owns the web with Coldfusion8, CreativeSuite, FLASH, Acrobat, Photoshop & more!

The internet is here to stay!

Adobe revolutionizes how the world engages with ideas and information -- anytime, anywhere and through any medium.

BOTD added Adobe (ADBE) back on the $37.50 dips (see 1 yr chart) and old post from feb 7th http://www.buyonthedip.com/2007/02/adobe-dips-tech-rises-buying-opp.html




...see the chart....now lets try the under $39 dip.

(remember to take gains at 5% and 10%, in this market we must take profits early and often!)