$PUT on your BEAR HAT! ~ $SPY S&P 500 ETF

The EARL of ORANGE. $USO ~ United States Oil Fund LP (ETF)

40.87 +1.19‎ (3.00%‎)

NCAA PICK = Syracuse OrangeMen

Obama & BOTD believe the Syracuse Orange men will advance to the Sweet 16.

BET ON BIEBER! ~ RealD (Public, NYSE:RLD) $RLD

REAL PROFITS in 3D.  

 “Driven by an increasing 3D film slate and growing consumer demand for an immersive 3D visual experience, the 3D box office continued to expand in the third quarter of fiscal 2011. Our ability to garner over an estimated 80% of the domestic 3D box office and, we believe, an increasing share of the international 3D box office, serves as a testament to the superior technology and value proposition that RealD delivers to exhibitors. We look forward to enabling the continued growth of 3D cinema through the ongoing worldwide deployment of our premium RealD 3D cinema systems which deliver a distinctive and immersive 3D visual experience to consumers.” ~ Michael V. Lewis, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of RealD.




RECO:  buy RealD $RLD
 ... as a sympathy "immersion" play on DISNEY earnings!

"BET ON BIEBER!" 

... the REAL play: Cars 2. 

p.s. Respect the OG ... 

The GLOBAL STOCK THEMES of 2011 ~ $STUDY $ELEVEN with @BuyOnTheDip

THE AUTO REVOLUTION 

The GLOBAL AUTO BOOM of 2011.  

#1   STOCK of the YEAR = FORD. 
    

                      $F LEAPS = Long-term Equity AnticiPation Security
                               Jan 2012 & Jan 2013 >>> $25 dollar strike

#2          Go Merica!  $GM front-month calls = Jan/Feb/March 35s
                      ... roll as we go.  $50 by SUMMER 2011. 

               *General Motors closed 2010 on NEW all-time HIGHS.

  ... the market cap battle of 2011, from 50 to 75 BILLION.   

BRAZIL, BRAZIL, BRAZIL.

The PLAYS:

#1   $VALE  = Iron + Nickel + Silver + Copper + Coal + Cobalt + Aluminum + Potash + Platinum ... global provider, there is no FUTURE without MINING.

#2   the BBB "BRAZILIAN BIG BOYS"
       Oil & Gas $PBR and 4%+ divy
       Energy $CPL and 6.5%+ divy.
       Water $SBS ... Sao Paulo.

Lazy ETF buys:
   LARGE = $EWZ 
                small = $BRF

*Full List of Brazil STOCKS (here)


THE TECHNOLOGY TAKEOVER

The PLAYS:

#1  one company, one stock
    ... the GREAT WEALTH CREATOR = $AAPL (calls)
In 2011 we'll get iPhone5 and iPad2, do you need more catalysts?

#2  M&A 2011 ... Unlocking the VALUE @ Yahoo!
            $YHOO (calls) ... sell, merge, break-up, something!

#3  The 'STREAM' Theme:  AKAMAI is VIDEO ON DEMAND.
       ... buy the OVER SOLD dip for 2011.  TAKE OVER CANDIDATE.  

 


ENERGY EXPANSION

The PLAYS:

#1  ON-SHORE: Faith in Floyd C. Wilson, CEO of PetroHawk $HK ... natural gas shale property.  TAKEOVER @ $35+ in 2011.
   *Floyd sold fayetteville shale properties to $XOM in DEC 2010.  Petrohawk is setting up as a pure play on HAYNESVILLE SHALE!  (worth over 7 Billion)

#2  OFF-SHORE:  the DIAMOND of deep water drilling! $DO

 
 #3  SERVICES: KING $HAL = Halliburton 
          GLOBAL ... completion, production, drilling, and evaluation.

... it's been a BUY ON THE DIP market since March 2009.
       Why would 2011 be any different?  BoTd.

FULL DISCLOSURE:  Long of $F leaps, $GM calls, $VALE calls, $AAPL calls, $YHOO calls, $AKAM common and calls, $HK common and calls.

The TRADER TRIANGLE of 2011: FA • TA • MA $STUDY $ELEVEN

FA = FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

1) The ECONOMY
2) The INDUSTRY
3) The COMPANY

Trading and investing based on the "FUNDIES" of a business or market ... earnings, financial statements, balance sheets, competitive advantages, new products, management, forward guidance, inventories, interest rates and state of the economy.  You'll hear words like "VALUE" and "GROWTH" used to describe the opportunity.  Stocks (companies) are judged by their dividend, growth rate, cash flow, and P/E ratio in the fundamental asylum.  With FA you can use broad generalizations and big thinking ... this is where you develop your THEME!

TA = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

1) CHART
2) PRICE
3) VOLUME

Technical Analysis uses past market data to predict future price movement.  Here we look for PATTERNS and TRENDS ... inspired CHART-WORK.  The tools of the trade are moving averages, technical indicators, lines of support and resistance, channels, familiar patters, i.e., cup-and-handle, double-top, double-bottom, flags, coils, pennants, and candle analysis.  Trading rules are outlined by Stochastics, MACD, RSI, Bollinger bands, divergences, retracements, breakouts and breakdowns.  What is an Elliot Wave? and Who is Fibonacci? ... stocks go up, down and sideways ... TA is the key to knowing which way and when.  


MA = MENTAL ANALYSIS

1) PREPARATION
2) MINDSET
3) ACTION

The MENTAL side of this game can be the toughest.  Taking a loss feels like shit.  "The day of THE TRADE you may feel a slight sting.  That's PRIDE fuckin' with you. FUCK PRIDE.  Pride only hurts, it never helps." ~ Mar-SELL-us Wallace.  The FACT is, "we" must take losses, and many of them.  LEARN to accept and embrace THE LOSER.  Selling is easy, you click "sell" and you're out of the position.  Don't let your WILL to WIN keep you from managing risk.  All you have is your P&L.  Your % gains tell the story, not your EGO.  Confidence is KEY, arrogance is a LOCK.  Your PLAN should control your emotions.  What are your profit and loss targets?  When will you enter or exit the trade?  Market or limit order?  Is this your best use of capital?  Are there other opportunities that make more sense given the situation?  How much of your portfolio are you willing to risk on this idea?  Is the fundamental side of the trade sound?  How about the technical side?  Why are you buying THIS stock?!?! ... When will you know if the trade is a success or failure?  ... before you buy or sell ... DEFINE YOUR EDGE! 

p.s.  Welcome to TWENTY ELEVEN ... the year of FATAMA! 

PEAKS, CLIFFS and VAL(L)E(YS)! ~ Cliffs Natural Resources Inc (Public, NYSE:CLF) & Vale (ADR) (Public, NYSE:VALE) ... BOTD.tv!

$VALE (buy DEC and JAN 35 CALLS)
1) $VALE starts trading in Hong Kong on DEC 8th.
2) $VALE starts Copper, integrates Tres Valles.
3) Brazil.
4) thee SUPER-CYCLE play!

$CLF (buy DEC and JAN 80s)
1) forever take over candidate
2) global exploration
3) Iron Ore and Coal (two-fer!)
4) Cheers!

CLIFFY, the WOLFMAN!!
   ... time to shave the recession beard?


p.s. Near Field Communication!
          .... $NXPI 16.14+2.16 (15.45%)
       original RECO = *click here*